Windows 8: Microsoft's New Coke moment

Summary: The latest operating systems numbers are in, and Windows 8's failure is clearer than ever. Can Microsoft, like Coca-Cola before it, bring victory out of a defeated product launch?

Everyone knows that New Coke was a total disaster for Coca-Cola. Except, of course, that isn't actually what happened. Yes, New Coke, like Windows 8 for Microsoft, was a total market failure, but that wasn't the end of the Coca-Cola story, and Windows 8 may not be the end of Microsoft's Windows tale.

netapps-os-May 2013 540x263
Numbers don't lie: Windows 8 is the New Coke of operating systems..

In Coke's case, the company realized quickly how badly they'd blundered and brought back old Coke as Classic Coke. And, this is the part everyone outside of the soft-drink business forgets, Coca-Cola actually immediately came back stronger than ever. Decades later, the Cola wars are history and Coca-Cola is the winner.

How did Coke do it? They gave people what they wanted: The original "taste." As Coca-Cola chairman and CEO Roberto Goizueta said in 1995, "The most significant result of 'New Coke' by far was that it sent an incredibly powerful signal... a signal that we really were ready to do whatever was necessary to build value for the owners of our business."

I've suggested Microsoft do the equivalent by bringing back the Aero interface and dumping the Metro interface. Does Ballmer have the guts to admit he made a mistake and give users what they clearly want? We don't know. 

Microsoft knows they need to do something. After all, in our recent ZDNet debate, we weren't arguing if Windows 8 was a failure — it is — but whether Windows 8 could be saved.

How bad are Windows 8 sales? In April 2013's Net Applications numbers, Windows 8 barely crept up to 3.82-percent. That still leaves Windows 8 behind Microsoft's last operating system flop, Vista, after seven months in the market. Windows on tablets fared even worse with touch-screen-based Windows 8 devices and Windows RT devices coming in at 0.02-percent and 0.00-percent each. The last was not a typo. The Surface RT is now in the running for worst Microsoft launch ever.

While it's too late for Windows 8, Blue might give us back our Start button and an Aero-like interface. Or, it might not. We just don't know. All we really know, as Mary Jo Foley pointed out, is that Blue is far more than just Windows 8.1.

Perhaps Microsoft's real Windows revival plan is to wean us off of the traditional desktop PC entirely and replace it with Windows as a service (WaaS): Mohoro. Then, the question stops being, "Can a new version of Windows keep the desktop?" and becomes, "Are you willing to rent Windows on the cloud?"

Me? I'm still sticking with Windows 7, and yes, XP, when I need Windows. Maybe Blue will prove to be Microsoft's Classic Coke moment. For now, I just know that Windows 8 is as "tasty" as the long dead New Coke.

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Topics: Windows, Operating Systems, PCs, Windows 8

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69 comments
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  • Must be nice for Microsoft...

    When their "failure" has more market share than the latest OS X version.
    Big Sparky
    • its an article from SJVN

      Everything is a failure for him if its not based on Linux.
      Throw All The Things
    • Re: has more market share than the latest OS X version

      Microsoft's and Apple's business models are different. Microsoft cannot survive on this market share, they still depend on users upgrading their expensive Windows license over and over. Not yet. Not today.
      danbi
      • why do you think

        Microsoft is starting to sell hardware? Are you telling that you truly believed that Microsoft was making them just for the fun of it? They need it to survive in a world where PC are not bought for fun, but for work. Then you think about windows 8 which is built for fun more than it is for work and you get your answer... No one will succeed more than Microsoft in the current PC market, but you can see that Microsoft thinks a lot more about portability and convenience than before. Microsoft is thriving if you look at the context in which the PC market is.
        Throw All The Things
        • Because

          There is SOOOOOO much margin in hardware, right?
          benched42
          • The surface

            is the most popular Windows tablet. So yeah hardware are important nowadays.
            Simon Tupper
      • Re: has more market share than the latest OS X version

        Yes, their business models are indeed different. As you said, Microsoft depends on users upgrading their "expensive" (a Windows 8 upgrade was how much at launch?) Windows license over and over. Apple, on the other hand, depends on users upgrading their expensive hardware every few years or so. I remember buying one of the last beige PowerPC Macs with the assurance that it would run OS X when it came out. Not so much. It would run, but only in a limited fashion, and the next release was deemed incompatible. My parents bought an iBook only to find out two versions of OS X later that their hardware was no longer supported. At least Windows 8 will run on just about anything that XP ran on, and that was released how many years ago?
        darthmongo
    • Steven had his Coke moment about three years ago

      But unlike Coca-Cola, he's never recovered.
      William Farrel
      • SJVN's coke moment

        Was the year of Linux on the desktop, wait when was that?! Was that last year? Maybe next year? or maybe never...

        sjvn clickbait king of ZDNET.
        hoppmang
    • Must be nice for apple

      When people make dumb pronouncements like the one you just said, they fail to realize one key fact. Microsoft is the dominant OS. when it fails to reach a certain percentage point in its life it's a disappointment and a failure. However, Mac OSx, is not the dominant OS. Anything above 5% is Way above expectations and is considered a massive success. They are being judged on expectations and microsoft is expected to dominate which is that it is not.

      I Hate fanboys and people who continously spout these things are Usually the biggest fanboys.

      And please bear in mind that apple makes more profit from the iphone alone then the whole of microsoft. I don't care for either company. I own both products i say let live and let live. you use this i use that and be done with it.
      ezar11
      • what if

        The market was so big with 700 million copies of windows 7 sold(without even counting the illegal copies) that affecting it even a little bit is somehow an achievement?

        stop and think people. You won't find many answers on SJVN's articles.
        Throw All The Things
        • True the market is so big that

          even Apple's MacBooks that seem to sell like hotcakes are not even affecting the market. I think Windows 8 will continue to grow steadily, but I don't think we'll see another Windows 7-like phenomenon. The PC is less important nowadays, we will always have one, but we don't care as much as we used to.

          This is why Microsoft thinks mobile now.
          Simon Tupper
  • Give it time fella......

    You like everyone else are jumping the gun here and you are doing it with knowledge of the past, but the fact is we are not in the past anymore. People are not updating their computers at the same pace, there is a ton more options out there, and the market for PC's has been saturated for years. You can't compare this to Windows 7 either as it was a long time from XP to 7 compared to 7 to 8. Yeah Vista doesn't count because it sold very few. Windows 8 is not a desktop OS and though it works as one, its intended for tablets and is awesome to use on a tablet and makes other tablets seem like old school methods. And honestly I would never go back to 7, I would just buy Start8 for $5 and enjoy the speed and stability 8 brings. But that's just me.
    OhTheHumanity
    • Stability

      The big problem with Win8 *is* stability. It is a crash-prone mess. And it suffers from really bad crashes. In the three years I ran Windows 7 on my laptop, it crashed 3 times. I remember them all. And it always rebooted after the crash and went on with its life as if nothing ever happened.

      Windows 8 on my laptop has crashed about 20 times already. It has also crashed on my home desktop (which *never* crashed on either Vista or W7). And worse, some of these crashes have been spectacular things that required *hours* of "checking" by the OS to recover from. And others have resulted in drivers simply failing to load that I have been unable to fix.

      On my wife's W8 Ultrabook, we booted one morning to find no working keyboard or mouse. Thank goodness for the touchscreen or we'd have been SOL. A "refresh" solved the problem, for now.

      On all two of my 3 W8 machines, after a couple of days of being logged on, my desktop becomes "corrupted" with menu bars all formatted wrong and missing control buttons. Logging off and back on again fixes it, but it's annoying.

      And as of right now I have no sound on my laptop; I had some corruption on my C: drive, so I did a check disk which seems to have broken my audio driver and no amount of booting to safe mode and uninstalling and yada yada has gotten it back for me.

      W8 is a mess.

      I really do like it, when it works. I like how fast it is. I love the new task manager and the improved file transfer dialog boxes. I love that my settings follow me from machine to machine.

      But it is severely broken compared to W7, which was a *rock.*
      x I'm tc
      • Not all two

        *two of three. My audio-free laptop doesn't seem to have this problem.
        x I'm tc
      • Wow......

        What a mess you have there. I have deployed Windows 8 on many systems already and have it on 2 systems at home and a Surface RT and I haven't had 1 single issue among them all. Maybe I am just lucky, but out of 15 systems I don't have the mess you got and we are enjoying our experience with it. I would chalk it up to being super unlucky or a third party app you are using that is causing the mess.
        OhTheHumanity
      • So many words

        Just to say you're a troll
        Throw All The Things
      • That hasn't been my Win8 experience at all

        fast and stable. Now the missing keyboard/mouse thing I have seen, I loaded Win8 on a 7 year old Gateway laptop, 2GB of ram and no new drivers since XP and saw a similar issue, but once again I was on a 7 YO piece of hardware that didn't have any updated drivers for it. Win8 actually ran fine on it, the laptop was a convertible tablet/touchscreen and the touchscreen actually worked but you could tell it hadn't been optimized. A reboot always brought back the touchpad and funky USB stuff. On any new laptop I have setup in the last 6 months, not one issue from anyone.
        hoppmang
    • Start8

      Shouldn't start8 be called start7?
      sayitasitis
    • And yet,

      The market was similarly saturated when Windows Vista was released, and Windows Vista's adoption numbers were HIGHER than Windows 8 current numbers at the same period after their release. Windows Vista was considered a huge failure in almost everyone's opinion, yet Windows 8 (with lower adoption numbers) is NOT a failure?

      Everyone in denial is saying "Wait, wait. The numbers will get better!". Yes, they will. Yet, with numbers below the most recent OS failure from Microsoft how can you come to any other conclusion than to say "Windows 8 is a failure"?
      benched42