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Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Chrome keeps winning; Internet Explorer keeps falling

By | January 2, 2012, 1:41pm PST

Summary: IE is still the number one Web browser, but it may go below 50% of the market as early as March according to one measurement, and below 40% on another. Oh, and the single most popular Web browser of all? Google’s Chrome 16.

Net Applications has Chrome gaining on IE & Firefox as 2011 ended.

Net Applications has Chrome gaining on IE & Firefox as 2011 ended.

Microsoft’s Internet Explorer (IE), according to both Web browser surveying companies, Net Applications and StatCounter, is continuing its fall like a stone, while Chrome keeps flying upward Indeed, StatCounter has Chrome 15, now Chrome 16, thanks to Chrome’s automatic update feature, being the world’s most popular single browser version.

Even by Net Applications’s account though, IE has dropped to a new all-time, modern low of 51.9%, By their numbers IE dropped over seven points last year. If its decline keeps up at this rate, IE will fall below 50% by March. By StatCounter’s statistics , which look at the global Web browser market, IE went under 40% for the first time. StatCounter has IE’s share down to 38.65%.

Roger Capriotti, Microsoft’s IE marketing head, chose to put the most positive spin on the results. Capriotti wrote in advance of Net Applications’ final numbers for the year, We’re pleased to say IE9 … will soon take the top spot from IE8 on Windows 7.” Capriotti didn’t comment on IE’s far more dismal StatCounter’s performance numbers.

While Statcounter has Chrome already ahead of Firefox and closing fast on IE.

While Statcounter has Chrome already ahead of Firefox and closing fast on IE.

At the same time, Chrome, which recently overtook Firefox for second place according to StatCounter’s measurements, hit a new high of 19.1% by Net Application’s numbers. If Chrome continues to grow at this pace, it will break 20% either in January or in February. StatCounter has Chrome doing far better on the world stage with 27.27%.

Firefox, which recently inked a deal with Google that will bring it almost a billion dollars in the next three years, bottomed out at 21.8%. By Net Applications’ count, Firefox will drop to third place in March. StatCounter, of course, already has Firefox in third, but their numbers show the popular open-source browser showing a slight gain in December: 25.27% over November’s 25.23%.

As for the rest, StatCounter has Apple’s Safari in 4th place and slowing growing to just over 6% for the end of the year, while Opera just keeps its nose above water with 1.98%. Net Applications has them in the same positions with Safari currently having 4.97% and Opera showing 1.66%.

You can argue about the exact numbers, you can fight over each site’s methodology, what you can’t argue about are the trends. IE is declining and Chrome is gaining. Indeed, if things keep going the way they are, it may well be that Chrome will become the top Web browser by any measurement.

Related Stories:

Firefox hits the jackpot with almost billion dollar Google deal

Review: Chrome, the Sweet 16 Web Browser

Google Chrome’s breakneck pace: innovation or version inflation?

Opera 11.6: Better but not good enough (Review)

StatCounter: Chrome overtakes Firefox globally

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Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols, aka sjvn, has been writing about technology and the business of technology since CP/M-80 was the cutting edge, PC operating system

Disclosure

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols is a freelance writer. He does not own stocks or other investments in any technology company.

Biography

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols, aka sjvn, has been writing about technology and the business of technology since CP/M-80 was the cutting edge, PC operating system; 300bps was a fast Internet connection; WordStar was the state of the art word processor; and we liked it.

His work has been published in everything from highly technical publications (IEEE Computer, ACM NetWorker, Byte) to business publications (eWEEK, InformationWeek, ZDNet) to popular technology (Computer Shopper, PC Magazine, PC World) to the mainstream press (Washington Post, San Francisco Chronicle, BusinessWeek).

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RE: Chrome keeps winning; Internet Explorer keeps falling
aiellenon 15th Jan
@Gisabun
Actually there were plenty of web browsers available in the 1993-2003 range. I used not less than 4 different web browsers in that time, including netscape (1993 - I used it through either AOL or Compuserver), safari (2003 - I only used it in school on our Macs), opera (1996 - I used version 0.9 and introduced a good 40 people to it as an IE alternative), firefox (1998 - I used the beta through v1.5 or 1.6 whatever it was), I also used Mosaic, before it became Netscape, and I used several text based browsers in 1992-1995 and I still use Lynx from time to time on my Linux machines. Not bothering to mention IE, as everyone has used it.

Netscape was around before Internet explorer, by almost 2 years...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Web_browser
A few points drop for IE and your saying its dropping like a stone... sensationalize much? I think you do. Don't get your hopes up for chrome, it will reach its peak soon. All these browsers are reaching their saturation point and the numbers will be staying the same.

if things keep going the way they are
The key word here is "if". I hope you don't think Microsoft or Mozilla is just going to sit by and do nothing. Both will be working to improve their browsers while Google does what it does best, discontinue their services or wait until someone has a good feature then implement it themselves.
@Loverock Davidson-

It just goes to show that, given an equal playing field, people don't prefer MS products.
@Habiloso
Sure they do. Microsoft still has the most web browser share.
  • Flagged
@Loverock

It was not that long ago that MS has close to 90% market share for web browsers. It is now about 38%. Time for you to get some perspective!
@Habiloso
Its truly hard for him to let go. Things change, life goes on.
@daikon

I agree. He tries to make a point that Ms and Mozilla will not just sit idly by and do nothing. True, they haven't. Mozilla is regularly improving FF and its market share is steadily rising. MS is been "improving" IE and its market share has been falling. It seems that MS had about 95% of the market around the time of IE6; yet, with the releases of IE 7,8, and 9 that market share has fallen to 38%. Clearly, whatever MS is doing with IE is not working!
It was not that long ago that MS has close to 90% market share for web browsers. It is now about 38%. Time for you to get some perspective!

That is a difficult concept for him to see. You shouldn't get so 'complicated'

wink
@Habiloso : "It was not that long ago that MS has close to 90% market share for web browsers. It is now about 38%. Time for you to get some perspective! " - That depends on if you believe Net Applications or StatCounter. That said, "not long ago" [try maybe 15 years ago] there were few other browsers out. Now there are probably as many web browsers as Linux distros! It is obvious with more web browsers that a market share will drop. The iPad had a huge market share for tablets. Now? Android based tablets are doing well.
Mozilla's Firefox is dropping like flies because it is buggier. Chrome isn't much better in the bug department. Not saying IE is perfect but when IE was updated to fix 3 bugs last month, Chrome had over a dozen.
That said, "not long ago" [try maybe 15 years ago] there were few other browsers out.

Actually I'm thinking along the lines of 2000-2005 around the time of Netscape's demise and the beginnings of Firefox when there really wasn't much else to use except IE5/IE6. It was a dismal period where malware almost had free reign over the XP operating system because MS was piss poor as far as securing it was concerned.

Yup, I remember those days too.
@Gisabun
Actually there were plenty of web browsers available in the 1993-2003 range. I used not less than 4 different web browsers in that time, including netscape (1993 - I used it through either AOL or Compuserver), safari (2003 - I only used it in school on our Macs), opera (1996 - I used version 0.9 and introduced a good 40 people to it as an IE alternative), firefox (1998 - I used the beta through v1.5 or 1.6 whatever it was), I also used Mosaic, before it became Netscape, and I used several text based browsers in 1992-1995 and I still use Lynx from time to time on my Linux machines. Not bothering to mention IE, as everyone has used it.

Netscape was around before Internet explorer, by almost 2 years...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Web_browser
@Loverock predicts that the markets shares of all the browsers have reached equlibrium and will stay the same for future years, indeed decades

We can be sure Loverock is right because his past predictions have always been right on. So for instance, as you will recall, way back in 2001 he correctly predicted the present browser market shares, along with the rise of the iphone and android.
@Loverock Davidson-
If MS keeps removing features from IE, it will continue to drop.
@Loverock Davidson- Let's be honest with ourselves at least, if no one else. IE had almost total market share 5-6 years ago. It IS newsworthy that this share would dip below 50%.
@rbethell
it runs on Windows, Macs, and Linux, while IE only runs on Windows.

Not something SJVN likes to mention, but it is his blog... wink
0 Votes
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@rbethell I wish you and the other person would check your facts prior to stating them. The other person says IE9 is at 38% and you state it fell below 50%. Yet the pie chart up above shows it at 52%, NOT below 50%. Personally I prefer FF but from a long, long ago police program (Dragnet) one of the characters stated "Just the facts." Not wishful thinking. I have removed, to the best of my knowledge, everything "Google" as I don't like snoop ware.
0 Votes
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@Loverock Davidson- I have a question for you. Are you not sick and tired of championing a loser? Or do you love your MS checks so much you continue to shill even when you read as a crazy person?
@Loverock Davidson-
FireFox got cash support not from customers, but from google, which had it money mostly from searching ad.

Microsoft's star product are office, os, enterprise software, and game consoles. As for IE, most enterprise applications still stuck with it, because Chrome/Firefox version strategy won't fly with enterprise security management.
0 Votes
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http://gs.statcounter.com/#os-ww-monthly-201012-201112

Linux's marketshare is still well below 1%. Or are you going to hold stat counter's browser statistics as gospel but claim that stat counter's OS statistics don't count?

So here is another blog I'd like to see you write:
Windows still winning, Linux still flailing.
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RE: Chrome keeps winning; Internet Explorer keeps falling
Return_of_the_jedi Updated - 2nd Jan
@toddybottom
YOU said: "Linux's marketshare is still well below 1%..."

Netcraft says almost 70% Linux. Which web counter is right?

FYI: Azure will now support the 1% Linux marketshare.
Customers requested the %1 Linux market be supported.
Hmm, scratching head.
@Return_of_the_jedi
And since SJVN's entire blog was based on stat counter's garbage statistics, his entire blog is garbage.

This is your claim.
@Return_of_the_jedi
servers 48%+ windows server
desktop 90%+ windows
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RE: Chrome keeps winning; Internet Explorer keeps falling
Return_of_the_jedi Updated - 2nd Jan
@toddybottom

My claim was customers demanded Linux. No web stats needed for that fact.
Let M$ tell their customers they don't support 1% market, it's no money it.
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@Return_of_the_jedi
Then so can all of SJVN's conclusions. When you base your conclusions on statistics that are clearly wrong (as you claim) then your conclusions are clearly going to be wrong.
  • Flagged
@toddybottom
Believe what you want, folks seem to not follow.
0 Votes
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@toddybottom - You don't seem to get it or you are purposely being obtuse. Microsoft, how has called Linux a cancer, is now actively supporting and courting Linux systems. That MUST mean they have realized there are enough users of this OS (instead of their OS) that MS can make money.

Remember, MS is a money machine. While they WISH they could own 100% of everything, they now realize they never will and are adjusting accordingly.

Expect a script change next week. MS no longer wants you to follow the old script of 'MS is best. Drop it all and buy only MS'. They now know the best approach is 'Please buy more of our stuff. We work with you. Ignore our past behavior. We will take over the world AFTER you listen to our shills and propaganda and buy more of our stuff. We swear!'.

LOL ~ MS and it's shills are toast!
0 Votes
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RE: Chrome keeps winning; Internet Explorer keeps falling
The Danger is Microsoft Updated - 3rd Jan
@toddybottom - You don't seem to get it or you are purposely being obtuse. Microsoft, who has called Linux a cancer, is now actively supporting and courting Linux systems. That MUST mean they have realized there are enough users of this OS (instead of their OS) that MS can make money.

Remember, MS is a money machine. While they WISH they could own 100% of everything, they now realize they never will and are adjusting accordingly.

Expect a script change next week. MS no longer wants you to follow the old script of 'MS is best. Drop everything else and buy only MS stuff (warez)'. They now know the best approach is 'Please buy more of our stuff. We work with you. Ignore our past behavior. We will take over the world AFTER you listen to our shills and propaganda and buy more of our stuff. We swear!'.

LOL ~ MS and it's shills are toast!
@toddybottom This article isn't about Linux. It is about browser market share. Browsers can run on any platform, including many categories of non-desktop OS (iPods, tablets, phones, etc.)
@rbethell
It's only a matter of time before toddytroll brings Apple into this. I'm surprised he hasn't already.
From w3schools web site said it best.
Statistics can often be misleading. Global averages may not always be relevant to your web site. Different sites attract different audiences.

"Then there was the man who drowned crossing a stream with an average depth of six inches." W. I. E. Gates
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RE: Chrome keeps winning; Internet Explorer keeps falling
The Danger is Microsoft Updated - 3rd Jan
@daikon - reminds me of the crazy stuff they published with their 'encyclopedia' Encarta. MS - getting it wrong at every turn.
0 Votes
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Victory for choice
klumper 2nd Jan
and healthy competition.
0 Votes
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@klumper - well, I think MS is rather unhealthy. But thanks for playing!
0 Votes
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apples and oranges
live_fire 2nd Jan
both StatsCounter and NetApplications are global numbers. The difference between the two is which numbers they report...StatsCounter uses page hits, NetApplications uses unique visitors...StatsCounter's numbers will always be bigger as a result but far less accurate for a true browser count.
Since lately, Ask.com was replace by Chrome on "almost stealth" installations, my guess is that the claimed numbers are nothing more than auto-installations with other tools. So many tools now include Chrome in the installer as an opt-out, I bet the numbers are mostly people installing what they don't want and temporarily being forced to use it (by changing the default browser option). In many cases, people may even believe that windows just auto-updated the browser and may not realize the change until somebody points it out.

I know a lot of people using Firefox ..... but only one that uses Chrome. And he is not happy about how poorly it displays many of the websites he visits. Chrome may be insignificantly faster than the others at loading data .... but it still has a huge problem at displaying websites the way they were designed.
@wackoae
Netstat has IE -7.35, Fireox at -.86 and Chrome at +7.7
StatCounter IE -8.39, Firefox at -5.49 and Chrome at +12.42

W3Schools has IE at -5.4, Firefox at -4.7, Chrome at +9.6

Average all sites.
IE -7.0, FF -3.68. Chrome +9.9, Are my numbers wrong.
Since lately, Ask.com was replace by Chrome on "almost stealth" installations, my guess is that the claimed numbers are nothing more than auto-installations with other tools. So many tools now include Chrome in the installer as an opt-out, I bet the numbers are mostly people installing what they don't want and temporarily being forced to use it (by changing the default browser option). In many cases, people may even believe that windows just auto-updated the browser and may not realize the change until somebody points it out.

I've been noticing that too. I doubt most people are that observant and have Chrome on their machines without realizing it. It happened to me once too until I happened to catch it when I was doing a run with CCleaner and noticed it there. I had to delete those registry entries as well.
@ScorpioBlue
You have to visit websites or your Chrome is not gonna be recorded in the stats. So what you claim is bull.
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@kirovs@...
Google will claim it off downloads, or are you too jaded by free Google goodies that you can't see straight?
The effort to make use of IE a prerequisite for effective use of the WWW (which got MS in serious legal hot water about 12 years ago) has definitely failed (but MS still cares about browser marketshare for some reason). The browser wars are long over and the users won (good thing).

People might recall that IE had 90% marketshare at one point in time (back when I was using the Mozilla suite). How the mighty have fallen! I'll note that despite all of the MS-apologists who then claimed that it was completely unreasonable to expect people to build fully functional websites that work with "any browser", that is now standard practice.
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@John L. Ries
" I'll note that despite all of the MS-apologists who then claimed that it was completely unreasonable to expect people to build fully functional websites that work with "any browser", that is now standard practice."

If only it were true. With Apple going ahead and implementing whatever it wants in webkit and simply calling it a "proposed" html5 standard, Apple is trying to embrace, extend, and extinguish the html5 standard.

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/06/04/apple_html5_showcase_hype/

http://css-infos.net/properties/webkit

And the situation is horrific on the mobile browser front where mobile websites are written to only work on iOS devices.

If anything, the web is even worse today than it was in the 90s, all thanks to Apple.
Either that, or put Loverock out to pasture, you've far superseded his level of sadness.
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Hadn't noticed...
John L. Ries 2nd Jan
@toddybottom
...and I'm an Android user. I suspect that given the popularity of Android, website owners will quickly discover that discriminating in favor if iOS is a losing strategy and will rework the mobile versions of their sites accordingly (just as IE-specific sites were replaced once IE's marketshare started falling). This will benefit Windows Mobile users as well, as it's easier to create a browser independent site than it is to create one specific to two particular browsers.
Uh-oh! There's the Apple reference. I knew I'd come.

wink
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@ScorpioBlue
Much like you are when bringing Microsoft into non-Microsoft related articles.

We understand it is only a matter of time.
plain
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To the pointy-eared troll
ScorpioBlue 4th Jan
You really should look at the title of this article sometime. Before you sock puppet into something else.

lol...
@John L. Ries

At the time it wasn't possible to build "rich" websites because HTML wasn't there. Java was dirt slow. Flash was the only cross platform option that had even somewhat decent performance. Therefore MS added functions to enhance the experience. Similar, but alternative, functions have been added via HTML5 and much improved JS performance. These two things are what have allowed us to build a standardized web.

What MS did with IE was, unfortunately, necassary to offset shortcomings in the open standards. While I will defend their choices 8 years ago I think we're all better off now that we're at a point where we can get rich web experiences with open standards. I doubt many will argue that last point.
"If Chrome continues to grow at this pace"

That's a big "if." Percentages can't grow forever. Eventually you hit a saturation point and they either level off or start falling.

You can't get higher than 100%, so the question isn't if Chrome will start leveling off, but when. More importantly, will it be larger than IE when it levels off or not?
Another SJVN fanboy rants....

Chrome is gaining percentage because of Windows XP. IE 9 won't run on XP.

Take a look at the stats on Windows 7 and see who is winning?
Take a look at the stats on Windows 7 and see who is winning?

@owlnet
Well of course. It's pre-installed on 90% of the PC sold out there. Of course that would be a 'win'.

Doh
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Your point?
LiquidLearner 3rd Jan
@ScorpioBlue

Most people know what Chrome is via commercials on TV or advertising on Google. Apparently people are happy with IE9. I know I am. Not to slight Chrome or FireFox as both are good.

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