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Linux and Open Source

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols & Paula Rooney

Why the fall of Explorer matters

By | May 5, 2010, 5:58am PDT

Summary: Market share in this case is a form of political power, and what is at issue is the future of the Web.

Microsoft’s browser share continues to fall, reports Net Applications, and is now below 60%.

Firefox now definitely has a place at the table, with nearly 25%, while Google Chrome leads a second tier of Safari and Opera on 6.73%. Starcounter reportedly has it even closer, with Explorer down to 51% and Firefox nearing 33%.

(The image is from Net Applications. I tweaked it a little to fit the page.)

Zach Whittaker projects Firefox overtaking Internet Explorer by the end of 2012, and while Google’s fans cheer you may wonder if it matters. After all, Explorer actually added more desktops in April than its rivals. Softpedia spins it as a Microsoft win.

Yes, it does sound faintly political, and that’s the point. Market share in this case is a form of political power, and what is at issue is the future of the Web.

Consider the question of video codecs. The idea of an open source codec would not be open if Firefox were not such a player in browsers. Since it is a player its support of Ogg Theora matters, while Microsoft’s decision to go only with H.264 matters less.

Or consider mobile. Here the game is the same. Apple supports Sproutcore for mobile web apps. But the force is strong with Google, and its support of Flash means Apple can’t have it all its own way.

Or consider security. Explorer’s reported interference with Firefox would be Mozilla’s problem if Microsoft market share were closer to 90%. Now disgruntled users have a viable option, and the problem of blocking .exe files is in Redmond’s lap.

Standards questions under HTML5 are supposed to be negotiations, high level discussions about technical excellence. In fact they are political struggles, and thus browser share data acts like poll numbers, giving strength to those who are gaining. (The battle over health reform has nothing on HTML5, whose 2007 working group will serve through the end of 2010.)

So whether you use Explorer, Firefox, Chrome, Safari or even Opera matters less than the fact that you actually have a choice. Which means you also have a choice on key technologies supporting your browser. The market is producing a political stalemate, and in this case that’s a good thing.

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Topics

Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for 30 years, a tech freelancer since 1983.

Disclosure

Dana Blankenhorn

Dana Blankenhorn has been a journalist, writer and part-time futurist for over 30 years.

At the present moment I run only a personal blog in addition to my ZDNet open source blog.

DanaBlankenhorn.Com has the subtitle The War Against Oil. In the past I have used it to write about political history, e-commerce, personal matters, some ideas related to open source, and The World of Always On, which is the idea of using sensors, motes and RFID to turn WiFi links into platforms for applications which live in the air.

My IRA account at Schwab holds a few tech shares, most notably some Intel and Applied Materials, but there are no open source companies in it. I don’t even own any CBS stock.

Biography

Dana Blankenhorn

Dana Blankenhorn has been a business journalist for nearly 25 years and has covered the online world professionally since 1985. He founded the Interactive Age Daily for CMP Media, and has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age's "NetMarketing" supplement, and dozens of other publications over the years.

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RE: Why the fall of Explorer matters
gorians Updated - 8th Sep
supposed to be negotiations, high level about it is bank that website attacked from the site support from any soldier site to the light home page is great discussions
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Re interference with Firefox
Earthling2 5th May 2010
With regard to "Explorer??????s reported interference with Firefox".

The man complains about a safety feature in Windows, that prevents running executables downloaded from the Internet (which apparently Firefox is also using, kudos to them). Then he runs as Administrator and complains about a dialog that warns about starting an unsigned executable. Then he disables this warning.

I bet the next step will be to complain that his system is full of viruses and trojans.

Linux is definitely recommended for this man: there is no way for a downloaded file to run without executing an additional command. Like in Windows, he'll have to change some properties of the downloaded file. Unlike in Windows, there is no setting to disable it. But then, there will be nothing to complain about.
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RE: Why the fall of Explorer matters
gorians Updated - 8th Sep
supposed to be negotiations, high level about it is bank that website attacked from the site support from any soldier site to the light home page is great discussions
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Sorry, but you lost me at...
wizard57m@... 5th May 2010
"Zach Whittaker projects Firefox overtaking Internet Explorer by the end of 2012"

Zach's blog posts are entertaining at times, but not what
I would call analytical. I could just as easily draw a graph
and illustrate Opera overtaking Firefox by 2012, and be
as correct as Zach.
That sort of made the rest of your statements a little less
poignant.
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RE: Why the fall of Explorer matters
Loverock Davidson 5th May 2010
The only major players here are IE and Firefox. Don't expect Microsoft to just continue losing share, they will do everything they can to make IE9 slick and fast. The accelerators and web slices are great features that they should continue with, but they also need more add-ons like Firefox has. Google Chrome and Opera are more or less dead.
..but no matter how long they chase that dragon, they'll never catch it.


IE will always be an inferior product to almost every other browser out there, and is used by lots of people only because it's tied-in by default to most computers.
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RE: RE: Why the fall of Explorer matters
ndubi Updated - 6th May 2010
@Loverock Davidson
"Google Chrome and Opera are more or less dead." - I sure hope the guys at MS don't share your view. Opera may be on a decline, I'll give you that, but Google Chrome is far from dead - it's in its infancy - and has the fastest growth rates of all these browsers. After using Chrome for a couple of weeks and get used to the lightness, user-friendliness and speed, you begin wondering why anyone should use any of the other browsers at all (yes, including firefox).
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@ndubi - "you begin wondering why anyone should use any of the other browsers at all (yes, including firefox)"

Plugins. Hello?
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@Loverock Davidson. It's like 2002 all over again, huh?

On the other side of the pond (EU) there's a recent shift towards Firefox for online banking, shopping et cetera. As Netscape back in 2002, the old thing MsIE is getting well trumped by the ever-so perky and innovative -- and we all now how people react to that.

Now, supporting the odd end-user I've realized that they bog-down MsIE (Explorer) with stuff working fluently in Firefox, only holding on to MsIE out of habit and boxed-in solutions from state and commercial services.

So, my standing advice to these end-user's of mine are; avoid MsIE (safety), only use main screen Firefox for state and commercial services (safety), use main screen Google Chrome for slick features with a quick response even on old units (productivity) and use all-screen Opera for out-of-the-box portability, leisure and social (fun.)

//S
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This is good news
ubiquitous one 5th May 2010
Anything to snip away at the monopoly's dominance.

More choice is good
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Which is the real importance of the figures
Richard Flude 5th May 2010
The lower the figure for IE to fewer sites designed for IE non-standard features. Uses of non-windows OSes benefit.
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RE: Why the fall of Explorer matters
Agnostic_OS 5th May 2010
As IE is less popular in Europe, I wonder how much of IE market loss was due to the EU forcing the "ballot" screen on MicroSoft?
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RE: Do the numbers include variants?
olddogv Updated - 7th May 2010
Do the numbers include those variants like Seamonkey? Some of these could become significant players with the trend to ultra-portables and smartphones. I haven't tried it yet on smartphone/tablet, but I think Puppy Linux with Seamonkey would be ideal. Puppy does work great on some very low powered and limited laptops. I run Puppy/seamonkey daily as a repair & diagnostic tool on laptops/desktops.

puppylinux.com
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RE: Why the fall of Explorer matters
efsane Updated - 25th Apr 2011
Well done! Thank you very much for professional templates and community edition
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