In other words, SAP is only a few more deals away from putting together some real cloud revenue. SAP executives predicted that the merger will produce about €2 billion ($2.6 billion at current exchange rates) in cloud revenue by 2015. Toss in SuccessFactors and SAP's own cloud offerings and the company has a shot at being larger than Salesforce.com, which Wall Street estimates to bring in nearly $5 billion in revenue for the year ending Jan. 30, 2015.
Bottom line: SAP is willing to pay up to be a cloud player and land some big deals.
The larger question here is whether this rollup approach in the cloud will work. It's quite possible that SAP and Oracle can acquire software as a services players and only enable smaller, more focused players to emerge.
For its part, Salesforce.com is likely to tout its heritage as a pure cloud company and one that's focused. Salesforce has made a bevy of acquisitions, but they are smaller technology based deals. IBM also buys up smaller cloud computing players and tucks them in. Workday will probably have a similar spiel to Salesforce's pure focused cloud line. The only thing that matters though will be what IT buyers will think. The cloud lacks the lock-in of on-premise software so defections can occur quickly.
To wit: SAP's cloud chief Lars Dalgaard boasted in a memo how SuccessFactors dumped Salesforce.com, Concur, RightNow, Netsuite, OpenAir, Coupa, Avalara and Onbase for SAP's on demand software. That ability to swap infrastructure cuts both ways.
Here's the rub: Cloud customers of Ariba, SuccessFactors, SAP and Oracle can make similar switches in mere weeks. SAP executives seem to know the cloud game is a bit different. SAP co-CEO Bill McDermott assured that the Ariba merger would "maintain the openness of the business network" while also connecting to competitors such as Microsoft, NetSuite and Oracle. To its credit, SAP plans on operating SuccessFactors and Ariba as mostly independent units.
On the surface, rolling up cloud players for SAP and Oracle makes perfect sense. But without maintenance and software lock-in, keeping customers may be a bit trickier.