It is clear that the homogeneous application of round sum percentages applied to software maintenance pricing is a dead business model. Nowhere is that more clearly illustrated in the recent kerfuffle over SAP's forced price rise for its maintenance services. SAP has put up a spirited defense but on the basis of the customer conversations I've had, it is falling on deaf ears.
Thinking about this more broadly, I have posed the question whether Oracle can realistically continue to trumpet high 30's percentage points earnings when it is obvious from its financials that these are largely derived from maintenance revenues. These are but two of the more prominent examples. The same goes for almost every other traditional software vendor right down to the Sage's of this world. It is unsustainable and there will come the day, whether locked into the vendor or not, that customers will come together and say 'no more.' I absolutely believe that to be a reality.
My friend and co-buy side advocate Vinnie Mirchandani talks a lot about 'empty calories' an expression that describes that part of the maintenance bill that deliver little or nothing of value. He correctly argues that in a recessionary economy it is neither fair nor does it do anything to help customers get access to the innovations that software vendors espouse. We know the innovations exist - we've seen them - but how can companies invest when they are fighting against ever increasing maintenance costs? The two cannot go hand in hand. It makes no economic sense. What is the solution?
I'll throw this out. I believe that the thinking that informs CK Prahald and MS Krishnan's recent book: The New Age of Innovation provides clues that are well suited to this problem. In Prahald's world of co-creation, everyone involved in the delivery and use of goods and services has a responsibility that can be leveraged for the development of new business models that not only add value but do so profitably. In an interview at Sandhill, Prahald rehearses a speech he gave at InterOp where he outlines the principles underpinning his ideas. His key takeaway is that providers need to differentiate among customers to the point where the customer receives an individual experience.
In software terms, we already know that happens through software implementation, configurations and customizations that are a core part of delivering to customer needs. There is no reason why the same principles cannot be applied to the maintenance element of the business relationship. If you stand back and put aside the notions of the last 30+ years, it is blindingly obvious.
It is obvious for example that in the early stages, customers will consume a considerable amount of resource as they learn and become familiar with the product. They should therefore pay an economic price that reflects the services they consume. However, the software vendors need do three things in order to soften the impact and reduce the long term burden:
Tie that to milestones and a promised general reduction in direct maintenance cost and you achieve several things.
It is a win-win-win situation that should not play havoc with overall margins though it may shift the internal balance as reported in financial statements. Customers see demonstrable value, vendors have happier customers and can upsell much more readily with perhaps less of the horse trading that is endemic in the industry.
Following Prahalad's model requires that vendors have a much clearer understanding of their customers, their levels of competency, the value they can deliver and TCO/ROI calculators upon which customers can reasonably rely. It will mean the creation of modified networks within the vendor ecosystems and far closer attention to business metrics and analytics upon which the vendors can make a case that customers both understand and accept.
I will not pretend this is easy. Wall Street makes little effort to understand the tensions that vendors face and may punish vendors who choose to take this type of action. At least in the short term. But what's the choice? The vendors may believe they're in a strong position but if the broad levels of discontent I am seeing are indicative of general customer sentiment, that is an illusion. Too many voices are being raised.
Neither will I pretend this is a panacea but Prahalad has demonstrated these models work in service based industries. I often hear that large vendor ecosystems are complex and it is difficult...yada yada yada. Maybe so but the fact remains that software economics are at heart, simple. As a bean counter, I can say that it is generally much easier to dissect a software company's 10-K/Q than it is a global manufacturing business. If the fundamental economics are simple as I believe them to be, then it cannot be beyond the wit of strategists to figure this out.